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These days there are many diets specifically designed to lose weight quickly and without gaining it back. Deep Root Analytics, a conservative data firm that identifies audiences for political ads, confirmed ownership of the data to Gizmodo on Friday. Fourier Analysis reveals six natural cycles driving temperatures, no man- made effect: predicts cooling « Jo. Nova. Thermometer circa 1. UPDATED: Post note below, with a couple of extra caveats. With only six cycles they can closely recreate the 2. European thermometer record. There is little “non- cyclical” signal left, suggesting that CO2 might have a minor or insignificant effect. The three German scientists used Fourier analysis to pick out the dominant cycles of one of the longest temperature records we have. The Central European temperature is an average of records from Prague, Vienna, Hohenpeissenberg, Kremsm. There is also a cycle of about 6. Atlantic/Pacific decadal oscillations. Data is of course, always the biggest problem. If we had 1. 0,0. Instead, we have short records, and L. The European records are only 2. Spannagel Cave stalagmites proxy, where the dominant cycle of roughly 2. To show that the results apply to other parts of the world, they look at the German Alfred Wegener Institut (AWI), Antarctica series. Ominously, the temperatures of the dominant cycle (in Europe at least) peaked circa 2. Wait and see. If these are accurate, it can be used to rule out significant effects from man- made forces and ultimately to predict what will happen next.– Jo. Image: Celcius thermometer made by Pierre Casati, Lyon circa 1. Source Historical Climatology—————————————————————Periodic climate oscillations. Horst- Joachim L. Contrary to expectations the Fourier spectra consist of spectral lines only, indicating that the climate is dominated by periodic processes (Fig. Nonperiodic processes appear absent or at least weak. In order to test for nonperiodic processes, the 6 strongest Fourier components were used to reconstruct a temperature history. Fig. 1: Left panel: DFT of the average from 6 central European instrumental time series. Right panel: same for an interpolated time series of a stalagmite from the Austrian Alps. Fig 2: 1. 5 year running average from 6 central European instrumental time series (black). Reconstruction with the 6 strongest Fourier components (red). Figure 2 shows the reconstruction together with the Central- European temperature record smoothed over 1. The remarkable agreement suggests the absence of any warming due to CO2 (which would be nonperiodic) or other nonperiodic phenomena related to human population growth or industrial activity. For clarity we note that the reconstruction is not to be confused with a parameter fit. All Fourier components are fixed by the Fourier transform in amplitude and phase, so that the reconstruction involves no free (fitted) parameters. However one has to caution for artefacts. An obvious one is the limited length of the records. The dominant 2. 50 year period peak in the spectrum results from only one period in the data. This is clearly insufficient to prove periodic dynamics. Therefore, longer temperature records have to be analyzed. We chose the temperature history derived from a stalagmite in the Austrian Spannagel cave, which extends back by 2. The spectrum (Fig. The wavelet analysis (Fig. THE dominant one in the climate history. We ascertained also that a minimum of this 2. European temperature record. Fig 3: Wavelet analysis of the stalagmite time series. Thus the overall temperature development since 1. This applies in particular to the temperature rise since 1. CO2, but clearly results from the 2. The 2. 50 year cycle was driving the temperature drop from 1. Fig. 4), which in all official statements is tacitly swept under the carpet. This same general fall and rise shows in the high quality Antarctic ice core record in comparison with the central- european temperature records (Fig. Fig 4: Central European instrumental temperatures averaged the records of Prague, Vienna, Hohenpeissenberg, Kremsm. Antarctic ice core record (blue). As a note of caution we mention that a small influence of CO2 could have escaped this analysis. Such small influence could have been incorporated into the 2. Fourier transform, influencing slightly its frequency and phase. However since the period of substantial industrial CO2 emission is the one after 1. European temperature record length and can therefore only weakly influence the parameters of the 2. An interesting feature reveals itself on closer examination of the stalagmite spectrum (Fig. The lines with a frequency ratio of 0. This is precisely the signature spectrum of a period- doubling route to chaos . Indeed, the wavelet diagram (Fig. AD. The conclusion is that the climate, presently dominated by the 2. We have in the meantime more clearly ascertained the period- doubling and in more detail. In summary, we trace back the temperature history of the last centuries to periodic (and thus “natural”) processes. This applies in particular to the temperature rise since 1. The dominant period of 2. Atlantic/Pacific decadal oscillations). Cooling as indicated in Fig. The future temperatures can be predicted to continue to decrease, based on the Fourier components. Finally we note that our analysis is compatible with the analysis of Harde who reports a CO2 climate sensitivity of 0. K per CO2 doubling by model calculations . Frank in which the Atlantic/Pacific decadal oscillations are eliminated from the world temperature and the increase of the remaining slope after 1. CO2 doubling. The slope increase after 1. A comparable small climate sensitivity is also found by the model calculations . Thanks to Filius for reminding me to look at the use of the DFT here. I found out a couple of months after posting this that the DFT assumes all the cycles fit perfectly into the chosen end points (a gobsmacking assumption really), so readers should be aware that the cycle lengths are entirely speculative. If we used different end points, the six cycles would still be there, but they’d be different lengths. There are good reasons I have not cited this paper as demonstrating anything in particular, except that natural cycles could possibly explain the current patterns. I still think it is a paper worth discussing. I was not aware of the depth of the European historical data. I do believe we’ll find some natural cycles that are meaningful that we are currently unaware of. The search needs to start somewhere.*Theoretically true for a proper fourier analysis, not for DFT. Also with the caveat that even the proper fourier analysis will find the cycles that best fit the data but that does not guarantee they are the causal cycles.——————REFERENCES. Hempelmann, and C. O. Past, 9, p 4. 47- 4. Feigenbaum (1. 98. Universal behavior in nonlinear systems, Physica D, 7, p 1. Harde (2. 01. 1) How much CO2 really contributes to global warming? Spectroscopic studies and modelling of the influence of H2. O, CO2 and CH4 on our climate, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. EGU2. 01. 1- 4. 50. That was wrong, it’s German Alfred Wegener Institut (AWI). Hair Growth Cycle & How Hair Works. Hair is far more complex than it appears on the surface. We all know that it not only plays a vital role in the appearance of both men and women, but it also helps to transmit sensory information as well as create gender identification. The Origins of Hair. By week 2. 2, a developing fetus has all of its hair follicles formed. At this stage of life there are about 5 million hair follicles on the body. There are a total of one million on the head, with one hundred thousand of those follicles residing on the scalp. This is the largest number of hair follicles a human will ever have, since we do not generate new hair follicles anytime during the course of our lives. Most people will notice that the density of scalp hair is reduced as they grow from childhood to adulthood. The reason: Our scalps expand as we grow. Hair Follicles. Hair has two distinct structures - first, the follicle itself, which resides in the skin, and second, the shaft, which is what is visible above the scalp. The hair follicle is a tunnel- like segment of the epidermis that extends down into the dermis. The structure contains several layers that all have separate functions. At the base of the follicle is the papilla, which contains capillaries, or tiny blood vessels that nourish the cells. The living part of the hair is the very bottom part surrounding the papilla, called the bulb. The cells of the bulb divide every 2. Two sheaths, an inner and outer sheath, surround the follicle. These structures protect and form the growing hair shaft. The inner sheath follows the hair shaft and ends below the opening of a sebaceous (oil) gland, and sometimes an apocrine (scent) gland. The outer sheath continues all the way up to the gland. A muscle called an erector pili muscle attaches below the gland to a fibrous layer around the outer sheath. When this muscle contracts, it causes the hair to stand up which also causes the sebaceous gland to secrete oil. The sebaceous gland is vital because it produces sebum, which conditions the hair and skin. After puberty our body produces more sebum but as we age we begin to make less sebum. Women have far less sebum production than men do as they age. Continued. Hair Shafts. The hair shaft is made of a hard protein called keratin and is made in three layers. This protein is actually dead, so the hair that you see is not a living structure. The inner layer is the medulla. The second layer is the cortex and the outer layer is the cuticle. The cortex makes up the majority of the hair shaft. The cuticle is a tightly formed structure made of shingle- like overlapping scales. It is both the cortex and the medulla that holds the hair's pigment, giving it its color. Hair Growth Cycle. Hair on the scalp grows about . Unlike other mammals, human hair growth and shedding is random and not seasonal or cyclical. At any given time, a random number of hairs will be in one of three stages of growth and shedding: anagen, catagen, and telogen. Anagen. Anagen is the active phase of the hair. The cells in the root of the hair are dividing rapidly. A new hair is formed and pushes the club hair (a hair that has stopped growing or is no longer in the anagen phase) up the follicle and eventually out. During this phase the hair grows about 1 cm every 2. Scalp hair stays in this active phase of growth for two to six years. Some people have difficulty growing their hair beyond a certain length because they have a short active phase of growth. On the other hand, people with very long hair have a long active phase of growth. The hair on the arms, legs, eyelashes, and eyebrows have a very short active growth phase of about 3. Catagen. The catagen phase is a transitional stage and about 3% of all hairs are in this phase at any time. This phase lasts for about two to three weeks. Growth stops and the outer root sheath shrinks and attaches to the root of the hair. This is the formation of what is known as a club hair. Telogen. Telogen is the resting phase and usually accounts for 6% to 8% of all hairs. This phase lasts for about 1. 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Free-scores.com because music is for all. If you use and like Free-scores.com, thank you to. A comprehensive live listing of all music sheet categories on Virtual Piano – growing daily. Browse and discover your favourite music. Then, play it like like a pro. Siegmund's Love Song (Act I) Also known as Liebeslied, or Winterstürme (Winter Storms). For Violin and Piano (Heldburg).Free Download Manager is a best choice for Windows and Mac users. It can download and organize files, torrents and video in fast mode.Internet Download Manager (IDM) is one of top download managers for any PC with Windows, Linux, etc. It has a great importance and known as fastest download manager. Free Download Manager accelerates all types of downloads (files, video, torrents). It's a smart and fast internet download manager for Windows and Mac OS X. Please Disable Your Ad-blocker Safe and free downloads are made possible with the help of advertising and user donations. Please disable your ad-blocker. Free Download Internet Download Manager - Fast download GetGo Software. Fresh Download: Free download manager supports Firefox 7, Firefox 6, Firefox 5, Firefox 4, Internet Explorer 9, Internet Explorer 8, Opera 11, no ads, no spyware. Internet Download Manager - Free download and software reviews. Prosnone i remember. Consi m a registered user of this downloader. Summaryi m a registered user of this downloader. Reply to this review. Was this review helpful?(0) (0) Pros. Always does the job, frequent updates keep it working properly. This is unfortunate, because I would like to see a few enhancements. Knowing how to use feedback constructively is the key to greater success. Summary. Clearly the best tool available for retrieving data from the web. Reply to this review. Was this review helpful?(0) (0) Pros. Downloads are very fast. This is the smoothest problem free software I own. I was so impressed that I purchased it. I have been using it for several years now and it is well worth the small amount of money I spent on it. You can now download and save all videos to your local disk. They sell 3 copies for $1. But you can purchase one- year license for as low as $9. This is not expensive keeping in mind all benefits you will get. Also the program is proved to be clean, no viruses, malware, adware, spyware or anything like that. The company released first version of IDM in 2. IDM is still the best on the market. Cons. The interface is outdated, but I managed to solve it by downloading W1. IDM official web site. Summary. This program is a king of all download managers. It's small and it can be downloaded and installed quickly. The distribution package is clean, no malware, no viruses, I verified it on virustotal before installing. Then it integrates into your browser. I used Firefox and I received a message that IDM had been successfully integrated into Firefox. After that you can do the work you do. Once you have a file to download, IDM comes to the scene and starts working. It takes the download from browser and does the download job itself. Nothing unusual? Not exactly! Now look at the download speed, Oh my God, it's 5 times more than in the browser. I get 1. MB/s in Firefox and 5. MB/s in IDM. Also you can schedule downloads for night time to achieve better speed and while you sleep. It also has a grabber to download sites or files from sites to your computer automatically if you need it. BUT this is not ALL it can do. The best feature ever is video downloading. This feature is a gem, it shows . So if your Internet is slow to play in HD, you can switch player to HD and download HD video with IDM in a matter of minutes. Now you can play it anytime in best quality from your local disk. Imagine, all your favorite shows and movies can now be saved to your local disk and played as you like. After one week of use, I purchased 3 copies of IDM for my laptop, work and home computers. Updated on Oct 2. I had a problem using IDM in Chrome later today. I wrote to IDM support line and they replied me in several hours with instructions how to solve the problem. You need to have IDM extension installed and be enabled in Chrome browser. They sent me clear instructions, and I was able to resolve the problem quickly. Thank you for quick response. IDM software, IDM suppor,t and the service are all great. Hi from Greece, everyone! Reply to this review. Was this review helpful?(0) (0) Pros. None to be found. Cons. Tonec's internet download manager is by FAR and AWAY THE Most expensive download manager in existence today. And, That is for just ONE licence. God Help you if you have more than one device in your home. There is not a single thing that Internet Download Manager utilizes in its software that they didn't lift from the Original copyright holder. NOTHING unique. In fact, you can find it ALL in Free programs. Often, several times a day. It has no Permission to do this, without the equipment owner's consent. It does this Regardless of if you have the free or the Paid edition. They have specific backdoors they have inserted into your computer so that they can do certain updates, without your permission, but mostly to make sure you aren't trying to use it on more than 1 device. This is particularly Shady. You CANNOT turn it off. Also Hijacks. Summary. Worst piece of Garbage software ever created. Updated on Sep 2. And, Good Luck getting this thing Uninstalled after it leaves remnants all over in your Registry. I'm Really surprised the Antivirus companies don't catch this as a Virus. Reply to this review. Was this review helpful?(0) (1) Please Wait. |